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20121027
20121104
Search Results 0 to 17 of about 18 (some duplicates have been removed)
there. the virginia "washington post" poll has obama hanging onto the four-point lead and philadelphia enquirer, 49/42. two different polls here. minnesota is truly a 50/50 race right now. is that going to impact everything like doug is saying? they can't get accurate figures to know where they're up or down? >> it may. even though one of the super-pacs supporting romney is now advertising in pennsylvania trying to expand the map a little bit, we're not going to likely see mitt romney go to places like minnesota or pennsylvania. they're really going to double-down on about seven swing states, and he's right that we won't be able to see what's going to happen over the next week because the polling is going to be fairly messed up. so we're just going to have to wait and see, thomas. i think the obama campaign feels that they are ahead in the states that motor like ohio and wisconsin and nevada. so as far as it's concerned right now, mitt romney has to go to those states and hang out there until election day. >> iowa came out over the weekend, "the des moines register" it to endorse mitt
even though the polls shows obama slightly ahead by no means a safe margin. he does not have a strong lead anywhere. i think the romney campaign is really worried about ohio and that's why they suddenly turned up their visits in advertising in pennsylvania, michigan, minnesota, states they don't have much of a chance to carry but they need ohio insurance because so far even if the lead is very small ohio is looking pretty good for the president. >> you know, i'm glad bill brought that up because i was going to get to that in just a few minutes. ohio, governor romney hasn't led in a major poll in that state. right now you take an average of all the polls that look at the buckeye state, the president enjoys a lead there, some of those leads more substantial than others. is it at this point the buckeye state is it a wash for the governor? >> well, you know, i think he certainly had some trouble there gaining ground. he tried a new tactic over these last couple of days talking about the auto bailout, not a good look for him because of that op-ed that he wrote in 2008 titled let detroit go
. "washington post" poll, president obama leads about 51% to governor romney's 47%. back in september, the president had a stronger lead, 52% to 44% in virginia. why do you think the governor has been able to close the gap in the commonwealth? >> i think just like you see nationally and a lot of other swing states, after a first debate performance in early october for governor romney. he managed to show people kind of a different face than they had seen in a lot of negative advertisements or depicted by president obama and a lot of his allies. you've seen him gain nationally in a lot of swing states just like in virginia. the question is, have enough momentum now to put him over the top and that's kind of the question that everyone is asking themselves nine days out from the election now. >> in virginia, like other states, it can be separated in several states within a state. you've got southwest virginia, you've got hampton roads area and norfolk and the richmond area. you've got the d.c. suburbs, arlington and fairfax and alexandria. let's talk about the democratic shift there, nort
from your poll if i could put it up. president obama's 16-point lead with women on the economy. now a four-point disadvantage. how worried should democrats be? >> very worried. if this is actually going to bear out, it's a disaster for the democratic ticket. president obama underperforms with men, particularly white men at such a large degree that he needs to overperform with women. the obama campaign is really questioning these polling figures saying that the president is still well ahead with women. it's unclear. we are seeing that trend in basically all the polling across the board. that he's lost a lot of ground with women since the first debate. the president has to make up that deficit with women if he's going to win. there is no other way. his deficit with men is so large. >> lynn, for women that are still undid he sided, the handful of women who might be undecided, we heard the economic message from governor romney, heard the president's fiscal message, coupled with his stance on women's issues, as well. which is having the greater pull on those independent women voters righ
are here in battleground florida, where the presidential polls show mitt romney and barack obama running in a statistical dead heat. so for the campaigns, it's now all about the ground game. they're trying to get their supporters to the polls and get them there early. today is the first day of in-person early voting here in the sunshine state. no shortage of organizations working to get people to vote as soon as they can here. earlier today, i had a chance to talk with a few of the folks who decided to cast their ballots on this first day of voting. >> i work, and i don't want to be in all of the waiting and the lines and everything. >> i was with my mom, and she decided to go early, and i wanted to vote so, i went with her. >> i think i'm working election day. so i figured i'd come out a little early, get it done now. >> we'll have much more on the impact of early voting coming up here in just a few moments. >>> first, though, the very latest on hurricane sandy. we'll get to the hurricane in just a moment, though. let's go to the political headlines. we'll come back to hurricane sandy i
to overcome this fire wall that seems to be pretty firm in president obama's favor? >> yes, if the polls are wrong. most of these polls are likely voter models. the polls are making the assumption with the turnout, what the shape of the electorate is going to be on election day. if that model is wrong, you have a major problem. you could have more republicans turning out and fewer democrats turning out. if the demographics are wrong, the same thing. this has been a very difficult -- i'm going to be honest, a very difficult election for me to get a handle on because you see this continuing schism between the national polls which show a tied race or a small, narrow romney lead in the key battlegrounds where you can show president obama ahead. it really comes down to a very simple fact. if democrats turn out, you know, at the percentages these voter models are assuming, president obama will win this election. if they don't, it's going to be a tough night. >> i want to show everybody this. chuck todd asked the obama campaign about the president's midwest fire wall this morning on "the daily
more time in ohio. but if we look at early voting polling that is coming out of ohio and then florida, the president leads. is it the obama ground game that's really pushing them ahead? >> it's the obama ground game. ironically it's also the republican party. when i was in ohio and talked to voters there and called people in florida who were doing early vote there, a lot of what's motivating really record african-american early vote turnout in north carolina, in florida and in ohio is anger about the tone of the republican party on things like voting rights, on things like voter i.d., on what they see as voter suppression. so they're equal part defense of president obama and anger at the republican party. it's driving what looks to be potentially record early african-american vote which only helps the president. >> and lastly the president leading with overwhelming support when voters were asked does the candidate care about people like you. does care at 62%. mitt romney at 44%. is there an empathy gap that's still plaguing the governor and even more so now that we're going to see the
at all. if you look at the polling averages or even if you examine individual polls, we put ohio as lean democratic, lean obama at the end of the september. we have seen absolutely no reason to change it. we see absolutely no reason to change it now. sometimes groups at rates overreact to a single private tracking number that may be shared by a campaign. as far as i'm concerned, while private trackings are good, many of the public polls are equally good. and under treat a private tracking number from a campaign or a polling source exactly the same as you would a public poll with a responsible sponsor. so i don't react as strongly as some people do to a private tracking number. >> one place where the obama campaign is not letting up yet is -- they sent bill clinton there today. this is him earlier this morning. >> i hear all these people say, oh, i was so enthusiastic four years ago. i had so much hope for change. and i'm disappointed. let me tell you something, i may be the only person in america, but i am far more enthusiastic about president obama this time than i was four years ago. >
last scenario where we could have ourselves a tie. president obama out west is favored in nevada. let's say we give it to mitt romney. it's only a three-point lead in our poll, 50-47. colorado, romney picks up. he may be the slight favorite there anyway. florida, virginia, now we are at 263 for romney. pick up iowa where it's very close and romney is at 269. if we give the president new hampshire where he's favored, wisconsin where he's favored, and even ohio with that auto balout, look at where we stand, 269-269. then the decision goes to congress. back to you, craig. oh, my goodness. we can't get enough of that map, thank you so much. i think what we've gleaned from all this, it could be a very long night on tuesday going into wednesday morning. coming up, up and down the east coast, everyone is keeping a close eye on hurricane sandy. how the storm could impact early voting in key swing states. >> i'm very keen on protecting her privacy. she can make her own decisions later. i've been coloring liz's hair for years. but lately she's been coming in with less gray than usual. what's sh
Search Results 0 to 17 of about 18 (some duplicates have been removed)